A rule is different than a guideline. Think of it like a road. A rule is like the guardrail that is there to stop you from going off in the complete wrong direction — which could be disastrous. A guideline is the center of the road often marked with nothing more than paint. It is there to provide you a sense of direction. It is there to give you a center. You have the freedom to travel on either side of the line or to even cross the line.
All professional traders and investors use rules. The rule-based trader simply travels on a narrower path than a discretionary trader might. Discretionary traders have rules about size, risk, and other things that are meant to keep them from flying off the road. Long-term fundamental investors use rules as well. These rules have to do with their analysis and selection of companies based on financial data. It is probably not challenging to convince you that the use of rules is beneficial to you.
The challenge probably lies more in whether or not you abide by your rules consistently. Traders want consistent results. But they rarely do the same thing consistently. The reason for this is likely due to a lack of confidence in the validity of the rules they have selected. It stands to reason that building confidence in your rules may be a very important component to achieving more consistent results.
Do you find yourself using different sets of rules on a regular basis? If so, is it because you have discovered new information that made the old rules invalid? Or could it be that the time came to implement the rules and it was uncomfortable to do so?
Perhaps you followed the rules and had a bad experience. I have written and run algorithms to test more indicators, strategies, and systems than I care to remember. There have been times that I ran back tests that were so complicated I had to start them at 5 PM one night and they were still running at 8 AM the next morning. If I had to venture a guess, the number of automated back tests that I have run likely numbers well into the millions.
Here is a quick summary of what I have learned from these tests and through the process of implementing ideas into multiple accounts that I manage for investors.
Many of the strategies that we trade combine the benefits of trend following, the benefits of rules, and the benefit of market neutral options. Make no mistake, there are still downsides to our style of trading. You should know about these from the very beginning. The first downside is that the learning curve is longer and the concepts are more complex. I would love to be the one to introduce it to you.
In this post you will learn: The difference between a rule and a guideline That rules are not just for technical traders; discretionary traders and fundamental investors also use rules How to find the rules that are worth using A rule is different than a guideline.
And by consistent I mean positive results most months and most years. And the down months and down years are smaller than the average up year. I am continually amazed at the following truth about market systems. It does not matter what time frame you use, which market you use, which indicator, or combination of indicators.
The difference in the success of the trend following systems has to do with the size of the winners and the size of the losers. The best way to affect these two numbers is to adjust the markets you trade.
A market that tends to have large one way moves is more likely to have success with a trend system. This typically does not include volatility instruments or broad-based indexes. While this is true, the challenge lies in the learning curve. I have had the opportunity to watch extremely brilliant people learn the options market. Scientists, surgeons, engineers, attorneys, retired executives, etc. The ones that bring a growth mindset to their learning of the options market tend to do best.
This means that they enter the world of options trading with an open mind and a humble attitude; questioning everything that they think they know. The combination of market neutral options and trend following creates a unique and wonderful strategy for traders. The upside of trend following is the ability to follow the market and not be caught on the wrong side of significant movement.
The downside of trend following is that whipsaw creates many small losers when the market does not trend. The upside of market neutral options is that a non-trending market creates the best returns. The downside of market neutral options is that significant movement can create drawdowns. Would you like to learn about this style of trading? Please follow and like us: Subscribe To Our Daily Video Join our mailing list to receive the latest news and updates from our team.More...