The number of new dwellings sold in the past month. An increase in home sales suggests a growing housing market which will tends to promote the rest of the economy. New Home Sales confirms trends in housing reports that record earlier stages of construction such as Building Approvals and Construction Work Done and is considered a leading indicator for broader economic developments.
The headline figure is the percentage change in housing sales from the previous month. Currency supplied by the Bank of Japan. The Monetary Base includes all banknotes and coins in circulation plus all currency held as deposits by the Bank of Japan. As an official measure of the Japanese money supply, the Monetary Base will show the immediate impacts of monetary policy actions and can give an indication into the future direction of inflation.
An expansion in the monetary base is generally inflationary while a decline will likely have the opposite effect. A monthly estimate of inflation in the Australian economy. The report replicates the methodology used by the Australian Bureau of Statistics to calculate quarterly CPI, striving to correspond closely with official government numbers.
The figure is important because it acts as a timelier indicator of inflation, coming out monthly instead of the quarterly CPI figures. Released one day before interest rate decisions are made, the figure may influence RBA considerations for rate hikes or reductions.
As with any gauge of inflation in Australia , a high value in the figure is bullish for the Australian dollar, since real inflationary pressures are usually met by the Reserve Bank of Australia with bullish rate hikes.
The headline figure is the month-over-month or annualized inflation rate. A monthly report measuring the number of jobs advertised in the major daily newspapers and internet sites in major Australian cities.
This release has historically been a good leading indicator of future labor market conditions and therefore an effective tool for forecasting employment growth. The report features two headline numbers, one for newspapers and the other for internet postings, both expressed as a percentage change from the previous month's figures.
Measures changes in the selling prices of goods and services used by Euro-zone producers. Because producers tend to pass on higher costs to consumers as higher retail prices, the PPI is an early indicator of inflation.
A higher PPI, especially when combined with high figures for other measures of inflation, will make the European Central Bank more inclined to raise interest rates. A low or falling PPI is indicative of declining prices, and may suggest an economic slowdown. The Index headline is expressed as a month over month or annualized percentage change. The Euro-zone PPI excludes construction industry because it is vulnerable to seasonal price volatility that can distort index results.
Dollar volume of new orders, shipments, unfilled orders and inventories as reported by domestic manufacturers. Factor Orders is not a widely watched economic release. The Advance Release on Durable Goods Activity reported one week earlier tends grab more market attention, given that durable goods make up more than half of factory orders.
Factor Orders does provide a comprehensive look at the manufacturing sector. Specifically, the New Orders figure can act as a gauge of demand across industries while Shipments are indicative of supply. The Unfilled Orders and Inventory figures reconcile the balance between New Orders and Shipments; high Shipments are indicative of an excess of demand relative to supply, high Inventories signal an excess of supply over demand.
Figures are reported in billions of dollars and also in percent change from the previous month. The value of orders placed for relatively long lasting goods.
Durable Goods are expected to last more than three years. Such products often require large investments and usually reflect optimism on the part of the buyer that their expenditure will be worthwhile. Because orders for goods have large sway over the actual production, this figure serves as an excellent forecast of U. Durable Goods are typically sensitive to economic changes. When consumers become skeptical about economic conditions, sales of durable goods are one of the first to be impacted since consumers can delay purchases of durable items, like cars and televisions, only spending money on necessities in times of economic hardship.
Conversely, when consumer confidence is restored, orders for durable goods rebound quickly. The data is highly volatile as well, some volatility is eliminated with the Durable Goods Orders excluding Transportation figure, making it the more closely watched indicator. The headline figure is expressed as a percentage change from previous months. The Durable Goods Orders figure is also reported excluding transportation expenditures.
Orders for items like civilian vehicles or aircrafts are fairly expensive and fluctuate idiosyncratically, distorting the Durable Goods Orders figure. Such goods are excluded to provide a better measure of durable goods orders. Tracks monthly developments in the Australian services sector, condensing data into an overall boom or bust index.
The composite index is based on the surveys for sales, new orders, employment, inventories and deliveries, compiled by American International Group. The AIG Performance of Service Index excludes industrial manufacturing sectors that tend to be volatile and seasonal, giving a clean picture of Australia's service sector that accounts for a majority of Aussie GDP. The headline number uses a 50 baseline, where above 50 signifies growth, while a number below 50 shows a contraction in the services sector.
Measures the monthly price change of New Zealand 's seventeen main commodity exports. Given that the exports act as the driving force of New Zealand 's economy, changes in their prices can affect GDP and exchange rates. An increase in export prices may suggest a strengthening of the Dollar as foreigners pay relatively more for New Zealand 's exports.
Conversely, falling export prices may indicate a decline in demand for New Zealand commodities; weakening the exchange rate. The headline value is the percentage change in the index from the previous month. Because the figure measures price changes in commodity goods, it acts as an early indicator of price changes.
As such an early indicator the figure is useful in predicting future price direction. Describes the flow of all goods and services, income, and transfer payments to and from Australia. This figure acts as a gauge of how Australia 's economy interacts with the rest of the world.
Whereas the other side of the Balance of Payments, the Capital and Financial Accounts, deals mainly with financial assets and investments, the Current Account gives a detailed breakdown of how the country intermingles with rest of the global economy on a practical, non-investment basis.
The Current Account is comprised of the value of the trade balance exports and imports for goods and services , income payments such as interest, dividends and salaries and unilateral transfers aid, taxes, and one-way gifts. A positive value current account surplus indicates that the flow of capital from these components into Australia exceeds the capital leaving Australia. A negative value current account deficit means that there is a net capital outflow from these sources.
Persistent Current Account deficits may lead to a natural depreciation of a currency, as trade, income and transfer payments usually reflect Australian dollars leaving the country to make payments in a foreign currency just as underlying surpluses act as an appreciating weight.
There are a number of factors that often work to diminish the impact of the Current Account release on the market. The report is not very timely, released every quarter. In addition, many of the components that lead to the final Current Account production and trade figures are known well in advance.
Lastly, since the report reflect data for a specific reporting month, any significant developments in the Current Account should plausibly have been felt during that quarter and not during the release of data.
It gives a detailed picture of how the Australian economy interacts internationally, breaking down these interactions into separate components that can be tracked and often anticipated.
Thus the weight of the Current Account has led it to historically be one of the more important reports out of Australia. The figure appears in headlines as the Current Account balance in billions of Aussie Dollars. Need to ask questions to an analyst? Join the RBA rate decision live broadcast.
The total value of goods and services sold each month at retail outlets. The report acts as a gauge of consumption and consumer confidence. An increasing number of sales signal consumer confidence and economic growth, which would fuel the Euro-zone economy. However, higher consumption also leads to inflationary pressures, which results in economic instability.
The headline is the monthly percentage change in retail sales. The difference between imports and exports of goods. Merchandise Trade differentiates itself from Trade Balance because it does not record intangibles like services, only reporting on physical goods. Because exports of tangibles like oil, gold and manufacturing contribute to a large part of Canada 's GDP, trade data can give critical insight into developments in the economy and into foreign exchange rates.
Negative International Merchandise Trade deficit indicates that imports of goods are greater than exports. When exports are greater than imports, Canada experiences a trade surplus. Trade surpluses indicate that funds are coming into Canada in exchange for exported goods. Because such exported goods are usually purchased with Canadian dollars, trade surpluses usually reflect currency flowing into Canada, such currency inflows may lead to a natural appreciation of a the Canadian dollar, unless countered by similar capital outflows Canadian International Securities Transactions tracks such capital flows.
At a bare minimum, surpluses will buoy the value of the currency. There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of Canadian Merchandise Trade on markets. The report is not very timely, released about three months after the reporting quarter. Developments in many of the components that comprise the figure are also usually well anticipated. Lastly, since the report reflect data for a specific reporting quarter, any significant changes in the Merchandise Trade should plausibly have been already felt during that quarter and not during the release of data.
But because of the overall significance of Trade on Foreign Exchange Rates, the figure has a history of being one of the more important reports out of Canada.
The headline figure for trade balance is expressed in millions of Canadian dollars and usually accompanied by a year-on-year percentage change figure. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the US's Balance of Payment, which gives valuable insight and heavy pressure on the value of the dollar.
A positive Trade Balance surplus indicates that exports are greater than imports. When imports exceed exports, the US experiences a trade deficit. Because foreign goods are usually purchased using foreign currency, trade deficits usually reflect dollars leaking out of the country.
Such currency outflows may lead to a natural depreciation of a dollar, unless countered by comparable capital inflows US Net Foreign Security Purchases, or TICs data reports on such capital flows. At a bare minimum, deficits fundamentally weigh down the value of the currency. There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of US Trade Balance.
The report is not very timely, coming some time after the reporting period. Developments in many of the figure's components are also typically well anticipated.
Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have already been felt during that month and not during the release of data.
However, because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data in forecasting trends in the Forex Market, the release has historically been one of the more important reports out of the US.More...